Eagles vs Bears Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Player Props for MNF Week 3

Even though the Philadelphia Eagles are 2-0, they have hardly looked like a competitive unit while negative regression looms large. Luckily for the Eagles, they will be able to brush aside regression in a favorable matchup against the Chicago Bears by relentlessly attacking a secondary that struggles in coverage.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears Betting Odds For Week 3

Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-113, Caesars)
Moneyline: Eagles (-205, Fanatics)
Game Total: 41.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

After barely squeaking past the Washington Commanders in Week 1, the Eagles flirted with disaster in Week 2, needing a last-second touchdown to thwart the Tennessee Titans. A stunning performance for a team projected to make a run at the Super Bowl, yet the lack of production on offense holds them back from being a well-rounded unit.

During the Eagles' turbulent start to the year, Jalen Hurts has still been able to play at a high level, ranking in the top 10 in QB EPA per play and in CPOE. While his completion percentage is certainly alarming, Hurts makes up for it with his legs by averaging over five yards per carry.

Even with the Eagles' offense in flux, oddsmakers have tempered their expectations of Chicago securing the upset while Caleb Williams is out with an injury, listing the Bears at +3.5. With the Bears' back end underwhelming in coverage, expect the Eagles to round back into form and light up the scoreboard.

Prediction & Pick For Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears Week 3 Matchup

The Pick: Eagles Team Total Over 23.5 (-102, BetMGM)

Once regarded as a formidable unit, the Eagles have steadily regressed on offense since the start of last season, entering Week 3 ranked 13th in offensive EPA and 11th in DVOA. Still competitive marks, yet a noticeable step back when compared to years past.

The lack of protection the Eagles have received from the interior of the offensive line gives Hurts less time to go through his progressions, fielding a group that ranks 30th in true pass set grade. When under pressure, Hurts is forced to weave the ball through crowded coverage, making it difficult to complete a pass.

Heading into Monday night’s contest against the Bears, the width of Hurts' passing lanes at multiple levels of the field will widen while battling it out against a secondary that resides in the bottom half of the board in dropback EPA. With fewer bodies near the point of contact, DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks will be able to rack up yards after the catch, leading to an uptick in the Eagles' total number of explosive plays.

By stretching out the second level, Saquon Barkley will have more room to work with after he breaks through the trenches, giving the Eagles the versatility they need to stay ahead of the sticks. With both facets of the offense firing on all cylinders, the Eagles will be able to get into scoring position at a higher rate and clear the over on the team total. If the Eagles' team total crosses through the key number of 24, reduce the size of the wager.

Best Player Prop Bet For Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Jalen Hurts - o244.5 Pass+Rush Yards (-115, bet365)

The Bears' defensive line low pressure rate will also reduce the amount of havoc in Hurts' throws, leading to a decline in his total number of turnover-worthy plays to help sustain drives down the field. By keeping possessions alive, Hurts will be able to air out the ball at a higher rate, raising his ceiling in a very favorable matchup.

When the Eagles are unable to break away from the Bears' coverage, Hurts will be able to extend plays with his legs when a running lane opens up to help keep the offense in a manageable distance to gain, improving the probability of converting on later downs. Back Hurts to clear the over on his pass+rush yardage prop and sprinkle a smaller wager on the Eagles QB to score a touchdown as well.