Brenen Thompson Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile For The 2026 NFL Draft
Dwain McFarland breaks down the Rookie Super Model's profile of MIssissippi State wideout Brenen Thompson.
A wide receiver out of Mississippi State, Brenen Thompson checks in as the WR23 in the release of the 2026 Rookie Super Model.
I've profiled 25 of the top wide receivers in the class with individual Prospect Profiles from their Super Model data. For the full WR class, check out the 2026 WR Rookie Super Model.
If you're new to the model, here is an introductory breakdown of the Rookie Super Model. All of this data is integrated into our free NFL Draft Guide, full of big board rankings, mock drafts and more.
You can find a glossary of terms and stats used in this breakdown at the bottom of the prospect profile.
Brenen Thompson Rookie Super Model Profile
- Super Model Rating: 64
- Draft Pick (Projected): 109
- Rookie Age: 23.1
- Height: 69 inches
- Weight: 164 pounds
- Production Rating: 69
- Film Rating: 69
- Program Quality Rating: 74
2026 NFL Draft Prospect Profile For Brenen Thompson
Thompson was a highly-lauded recruit out of Texas in 2022. He signed with the Longhorns but transferred to Oklahoma after receiving minimal playing time as a freshman. He played two seasons for the Sooners before finishing his career at Mississippi State.
The small speedster didn't register a meaningful season until his final season with the Bulldogs. That late breakout hurts, but his 81 yards per game with a 2.71 YPTPA was impressive. He notched a 26% target share and scored six times.
- Adjusted Career RYPTPA: 29th percentile
- Targeted QB Passer Rating: 105.3, 52nd percentile
Thompson's primary role in college was as a field stretcher. His 17.9-yard aDOT falls in the 87th percentile. He saw 59% of his targets come 10-plus yards past the line of scrimmage, well above the average of 48%.
He didn't face many contested targets (12%) in college thanks to his speed, but was far below average when they happened. His contested-catch rate of 35% was well below the average of 43% for prospects since 2018 with an aDOT of 15 or higher. He was average after the catch.
Lance Zierlein of NFL.com sees Thompson as a player with legit speed who can stretch the vertical boundary. However, his slight build leads to catch-point issues. He validated his speed at the NFL Scouting Combine, running a blistering 4.26 40-yard dash.
Thompson's closest Super Model comps:
- Arian Smith
Bottom line: Thompson was a late bloomer in college, who is undersized by NFL standards. He offers pure, unadulterated speed, but struggles in contested situations, which could come more frequently in the NFL. The Rookie Super Model views Thompson as a late Day 3 pick. He is a WR6 for fantasy football.
Glossary of Terms In The Prospect Profile
- Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.
- aDOT: Average depth of target in yards.
- Career Targeted QB Passer Rating: Passer rating on WR's targets.
- Contested catch rate: Percentage of contested targets caught.
- Contested catch rate over expected: Percentage of contested targets caught after adjusting for aDOT.
- Draft Capital Rating: Based on Chase Stuart's Draft Value Chart, an improved version of what many know as the Jimmy Johnson trade chart. It accounts for the larger drop-off in the first round and a flatter drop-off around the end of the second round.
- FDPRR: First downs per route run. Often shown as a percentage (first downs divided by routes).
- Film Rating: Based on NFL.com prospect grades from Lance Zierlein.
- Production Rating: A combination of adjusted career RYPTPA and career targeted QB passer rating.
- Program Quality Rating: ESPN's College Football Power Index is used to assess program quality. The model accounts for each school a prospect attended.
- RYPTPA: receiving yards per team pass attempt.
- SOS Rating: Based on strength of schedule (SOS) from Sports Reference. The model accounts for each school the prospect attended.
- Target Share: A player's percentage of team targets in games played.
- TPRR: Targets per route run.
- YAC: Average yards after the catch.
- YAC over expected: YAC over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
- YPG: Yards per game.
- YPRR: Yards per route run.
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