The best available QB on the open market has a new home: Kyler Murray has signed with the Vikings on a one-year deal.

Of course, Murray hasn't exactly been playing to the best of his abilities in recent years. His highs in 2020 and 2021 were quite awesome and helped him secure that initial $230.5 million bag from the Cardinals, but unfortunately, things simply haven't been as good in recent years.

Kyler Murray Fantasy Football Projection After Signing With Minnesota Vikings

We can see this quite clearly with adjusted net yards per attempt, which weighs touchdowns, interceptions and sacks into the traditional pass yards per attempt equation.

So yeah, REALLY not great in 2025—BUT it's also not like we've been looking at an overly stable situation here both in terms of Kyler's offensive environment as well as his own health.

• Murray suffered a torn ACL on Dec. 12, 2022
• HC Kliff Kingsbury was fired following the 2022 season
• The Cardinals hired HC Jonathan Gannon and OC Drew Petzing prior to the 2023 season
• Murray suffered a foot injury in early 2025 that landed him on the sideline for what wound up being the entire season

Of course, the latter injury was viewed as a "soft benching" with Jacoby Brissett generally doing a good job of leading this passing offense. This is the toughest obstacle for Kyler truthers to get around: Our most recent sample size of the 2025 season was ROUGH any way you cut it.

That said: There's still reason for optimism thanks to three key factors.

1. Some advanced stats still painted Murray in a positive light in 2025. Specifically, EPA per dropback (+0.06, 15th) and PFF passing grade (69.5, tied 22nd). The former mark was better than guys like Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence, and Justin Herbert, while the latter cleared the likes of Lamar Jackson, Daniel Jones and Baker Mayfield.

2. This remains one of the position's most dangerous rushers. Last season Murray actually averaged his most rushing yards per game (34.6) since his ACL injury. The film reflects the reality that this is still a dangerous man in the open field. Overall, Murray's average of 8.5 yards per scramble was good for the position's eighth-best mark last season and ranked ahead of guys like Patrick Mahomes and Jaxson Dart.

3. Kyler didn't get a ton of help from his friends last season. Specifically alleged generational WR Marvin Harrison Jr., who had some rough (and I mean ROUGH) moments early in 2025. Overall, this Cardinals offense simply wasn't very QB-friendly. They finished 28th in my "Supporting Cast Rating," which is the average of every team's rank in PFF rushing, receiving, run-blocking and pass-blocking grades (everything except passing).

Good news: Minnesota finished 13th in Supporting Cast Rating last year! You could even argue they're higher when considering the schematic impact that renowned QB whisperer Kevin O'Connell has had on his passing games over the years. The potential for Kyler to improve his passing thanks to this new-and-improved offensive environment and keep on keeping on as a rusher paints the picture of an exciting late-ish round fantasy QB option in 2026. Reminder: 31 of 34 QBs to rack up 100-plus rush attempts in a season since 2014 posted top-12 fantasy numbers on a per-game basis. That's a 91% hit rate!

While there's some question as to when/if Murray will lock down QB1 duties, he profiles as a cheap dart throw at the position with a history of scoring 20-plus fantasy points per game. That's a rare combination to find in fantasy land—and one that will make him a VERY enticing late-round option at the position. For now, I see Murray around the ~QB16 range with Malik Willis, just after guys like Matthew Stafford and Bo Nix.

Overall: Good news for Kyler landing with the premier free agency landing spot for a QB, and also a nice potential upgrade for Justin Jefferson and company, who *knocks on wood* can't deal with worse quarterback performance than what happened with the artist known as Nine last season.

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