Antonio Williams Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile For The 2026 NFL Draft
Dwain McFarland breaks down what the Rookie Super Model has to say about incoming WR Antonio Williams out of Clemson.
NFL Draft prospect Antonio Williams out of Clemson checks in as the WR13 in the release of the 2026 Rookie Super Model.
I've profiled 25 of the top wide receivers in the class with individual Prospect Profiles from their Super Model data. For the full WR class, check out the 2026 WR Rookie Super Model.
If you're new to the model, here is an introductory breakdown of the Rookie Super Model, which rates players on a scale of 50 to 100 based on a composite score across Draft Capital, Production and Film. All of this data is integrated into our free NFL Draft Guide, full of big board rankings, mock drafts and more.
You can find a glossary of terms and stats used in this breakdown at the bottom of the prospect profile.
Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile For Antonio Williams
- Super Model Rating: 72 (102nd since 2018)
- Draft Pick: 69
- Rookie Age: 22.1
- Height: 71.5 inches
- Weight: 187 pounds
Williams was a consensus four-star recruit in the 2022 class out of South Carolina. He played all four seasons at Clemson, earning immediate playing time with a 70% route participation rate in his first year on campus. He led the Tigers in receiving as a Freshman All-American.
He never blossomed into an elite option, but Williams played at a quality program where he led the team in target share in three of four seasons.
What the Production Says
Williams was a high-quality option when targeted, but he never became the overwhelming focal point of Clemson's offense.
- Adjusted Career RYPTPA: 41st percentile
- Targeted QB Passer Rating: 122.1, 70th percentile
Williams' freshman RYPTPA of 1.26 was solid. He had 43 YPG and scored 4 receiving TDs. His sophomore year was derailed by injuries, as he only played in five contests.
However, he had a decent rebound season in Year 3 with 65 yards per game and 11 receiving TDs. His RYPTPA reached a career high of 1.70.
In Year 4, Williams regressed to a 1.58 RPTPA, but still managed 61 YPG and four receiving TDs. Injuries might have been a factor. He suffered a hamstring injury in the opening game and missed the following two contests. Late in the season, he was managing an ankle injury that he picked up in the spring.
Nerd Note: The Rookie Super Model doesn't count games the player missed. The denominator for each stat is based on only data from games played. For example, if a prospect plays in 10 of 14 contests, their RYPTPA is calculated by dividing their receiving yards in those games by the team's pass attempts in those games.
While the Rookie Super Model accounts for games missed, it doesn't exclude games where a player might have played through an injury or exited early. So it's possible that injuries suppressed Williams' numbers in his final season. Still, his career YPRR (39th percentile) and 9% FDPRR (47th percentile) align with what RYPTPA tells us.
In addition to his work as a receiver, Williams chipped in 2 rushing TDs over his final two seasons at Clemson.
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Beyond the Production
Williams lived on a heavy dose of targets underneath, accessing the medium and deep areas of the field less than the average prospect.
- Behind the Line of Scrimmage Targets: 23% (+9 vs. avg)
- Short Targets (0-9 yards): 41% (+5 vs. avg)
- Medium Targets (10-19 yards): 20% (-6 vs. avg)
- Deep Targets (20+ yards): 16% (-8 vs. avg)
He primarily operated from the slot with only 21% of snaps coming from a wide alignment, and his 8.5 career aDOT was in the 35th percentile.
Most receivers of his archetype who get significant NFL Draft capital are A+ players after the catch. That was not the case with Williams. His 5.3 YAC was -0.1 over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
He was slightly above average in the contested-catch department, securing 49% of contested targets. His career drop rate (4%) was slightly better than that of his peers.
Lance Zierlein's prospect grade for Williams is 6.24 (56th percentile). While the data doesn't suggest that Williams is a good player after the catch, Zierlein sees it differently, describing him as "more slippery than explosive with outstanding run-after-catch ability." He also notes his ability to work the middle of the field as a positive. Overall, Zierlein sees Williams as someone who could be a productive YAC player from the slot in a creative scheme.
Williams crushed the NFL Scouting Combine:
- 40-yard dash: 4.41 seconds (74th percentile)
- Vertical leap: 39.5 inches (68th percentile)
Athleticism carries a very small weight in the Rookie Super Model because it is mostly accounted for by NFL Draft capital.
Fantasy Outlook
Since 2018, 72 WRs have posted a Super Model rating between 67 and 87, with 25% delivering a top-36 finish by Year 3.
- Top-six finishes: 4%
- Top-12 finishes: 7%
- Top-24 finishes: 17%
- Top-36 finishes: 25%
Williams' closest Super Model comps:
Bottom line: The Rookie Super Model views Williams as a Day 3 pick. He was a below-average producer in college, but battled injuries. Williams flashed when given opportunities and can add value as a rusher and in the return game. His best fit is in a creative scheme where he can play from the slot, but the data and film are at odds regarding his ability as a YAC player, creating question marks. Williams is a WR5 prospect in fantasy football.
Glossary of Terms In The Prospect Profile
- Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.
- aDOT: Average depth of target in yards.
- Career Targeted QB Passer Rating: Passer rating on WR's targets.
- Contested catch rate: Percentage of contested targets caught.
- Contested catch rate over expected: Percentage of contested targets caught after adjusting for aDOT.
- Draft Capital Rating: Based on Chase Stuart's Draft Value Chart, an improved version of what many know as the Jimmy Johnson trade chart. It accounts for the larger drop-off in the first round and a flatter drop-off around the end of the second round.
- FDPRR: First downs per route run. Often shown as a percentage (first downs divided by routes).
- Film Rating: Based on NFL.com prospect grades from Lance Zierlein.
- Production Rating: A combination of adjusted career RYPTPA and career targeted QB passer rating.
- Program Quality Rating: ESPN's College Football Power Index is used to assess program quality. The model accounts for each school a prospect attended.
- RYPTPA: receiving yards per team pass attempt.
- SOS Rating: Based on strength of schedule (SOS) from Sports Reference. The model accounts for each school the prospect attended.
- Target Share: A player's percentage of team targets in games played.
- TPRR: Targets per route run.
- YAC: Average yards after the catch.
- YAC over expected: YAC over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
- YPG: Yards per game.
- YPRR: Yards per route run.
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