Elijah Sarratt, National Championship-winning receiver out of Indiana, checks in as the WR7 in the 2026 wide receiver Super Model.

I've profiled 25 of the top wide receivers in the class with individual Prospect Profiles from their Super Model data. For the full WR class, check out the 2026 WR Rookie Super Model.

If you're new to the model, here is an introductory breakdown of the Rookie Super Model, which rates players on a scale of 50 to 100 based on a composite score across Draft Capital, Production and Film. All of this data is integrated into our free NFL Draft Guide, full of big board rankings, mock drafts and more.

You can find a glossary of terms and stats used in this breakdown at the bottom of the prospect profile.

Elijah Sarratt Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile

• Super Model Rating: 77 (56th since 2018)
• Draft Pick: 62
• Rookie Age: 23.3
• Height: 74.5 inches
• Weight: 210 pounds

Sarratt didn't receive any FBS offers as a recruit in the 2022 class. So, he turned to the FCS, where he signed with St. Francis, where he became a Freshman All-American.

In his second year, he transferred to the FBS, playing at James Madison with Curt Cignetti. He earned First-Team All-Sun Belt honors.

In his third season, Sarratt entered the transfer portal as a four-star recruit. He followed Cignetti to Indiana and went on to win a National Championship in his fourth campaign. 

Over two seasons for the Hoosiers, he was the team's No. 1 WR despite battling Omar Cooper Jr. for looks. Sarratt has consistently risen to the occasion at each new level of competition, but many film analysts see Cooper as the better pro prospect.

What the Production Says

Sarratt notched the sixth-best Production Rating (93) in the history of the Rookie Super Model. The model accounts for playing against weaker competition in his first two seasons, but ultimately, they are positives because he immediately produced.

• Adjusted Career RYPTPA: 79th percentile
• Targeted QB Passer Rating: 134.7, 83rd percentile
   

Sarratt posted a RYPTPA of 2.00 or higher every season.

• 2022 at St. Francis: 2.10 RYPTPA → 58 YPG and 13 TDs
• 2023 at James Madison: 2.79 RYPTPA → 92 YPG and 8 TDs
• 2024 at Indiana: 2.64 RYPTPA → 74 YPG and 8 TDs
• 2025 at Indiana: 2.35 RYPTPA → 59 YPG and 15 TDs
   

His targeted qb passer rating was great every season: 127.4 → 124.5 → 132.9 → 143.2.

Sarratt's production profile is pretty straightforward. It's great. Even his contextual numbers are strong.

• Career YPRR: 2.57 (57th percentile)
• Career FDPRR: 13% career (68th percentile)
• Career Target Share: 24% (65th percentile)
   

His red flags all come from the context we gain when analyzing factors beyond production.

Beyond the Production

Sarratt did most of his damage between 0 and 19 yards downfield. He was not a priority target behind the line of scrimmage or deep.

• Behind the Line of Scrimmage Targets: 5% (-9 vs. avg)
• Short Targets (0-9 yards): 43% (+7 vs. avg)
• Medium Targets (10-19 yards): 38% (+12 vs. avg)
• Deep Targets (20+ yards): 15% (-7 vs. avg)
   

Sarratt was a boundary player every season, with 84% of his career snaps coming from a wide alignment. His 11.9 aDOT (54th percentile) falls in the possession-archetype range when paired with his 5.1 career YAC. Sarratt's YAC was -0.2 over expected when adjusted for aDOT. 

One of the big concerns around Sarratt: his contested target rate of 28% (81st percentile).

Nerd Note: Contested target rates go up as aDOT and wide alignment routes increase. The further a pass has to travel, the more likely a player is to encounter a contested target, as defenders have more time to react.

However, the data for career contested target rate actually has a positive correlation with future fantasy success. We only have this data back to the 2021 draft class, so the sample is small. Below are the players who posted a career contested target rate of 25% or higher that were Day 1 or Day 2 NFL Draft picks:

Most of the players who found immediate success had higher aDOTs than Sarratt. The players with aDOTs similar to Sarratt had a broader range of success, with Michael Wilson and Keon Coleman as great examples.

Sarratt's contested targets over expected based on aDOT and alignment: +5%, +0.4%, +11%, +17%. It's worth noting that his contested targets increased over the final two seasons against stronger competition.

On a positive note, Sarratt was excellent in contested situations, securing 57% of his targets. Every season, he posted a positive aDOT/Alignment-adjusted catch rate: +8%, +21%, +5%, +11%. His career drop rate of 2.7% was excellent.

Lance Zierlein has a 6.22 prospect grade for Sarratt (55th percentile), noting concerns about separation ability and issues with press coverage. The positives from Zierlein align with the data: a possession WR who can win contested catches, but isn't a great vertical threat.

Fantasy Outlook For Elijah Sarratt

Since 2018, 56 WRs have posted a Super Model rating between 72 and 82, with 38% delivering a top-36 finish by Year 3.

• Top-six finishes: 4%
• Top-12 finishes: 11%
• Top-24 finishes: 29%
• Top-36 finishes: 38%

Sarratt's closest Super Model comps:

• Jayden Higgins
• Terrace Marshall Jr.

If you want a pure Production Rating (good) vs. Film Rating comps (average), disregarding size and other variables, it is Skyy Moore. Moore had a 91 Production Rating and a 78 Film Rating.

Bottom line: Sarratt was a highly productive collegiate WR, delivering strong numbers throughout his career. However, his skillset might not translate as well at the NFL level due to separation concerns that lead to contested targets. Will an NFL QB with other talented options force-feed him? Fernando Mendoza did despite having Omar Cooper Jr., so it is a possibility, but those concerns are hurting Sarratt's Film Rating. Still, the Rookie Super Model sees Sarratt as a Round 2 NFL Draft pick. He is a boom-bust WR4 option in fantasy football.

Glossary of Terms In The Prospect Profile

• Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.
• aDOT: Average depth of target in yards.
• Career Targeted QB Passer Rating: Passer rating on WR's targets.
• Contested catch rate: Percentage of contested targets caught.
• Contested catch rate over expected: Percentage of contested targets caught after adjusting for aDOT.
• Draft Capital Rating: Based on Chase Stuart's Draft Value Chart, an improved version of what many know as the Jimmy Johnson trade chart. It accounts for the larger drop-off in the first round and a flatter drop-off around the end of the second round.
• FDPRR: First downs per route run. Often shown as a percentage (first downs divided by routes).
• Film Rating: Based on NFL.com prospect grades from Lance Zierlein.
• Production Rating: A combination of adjusted career RYPTPA and career targeted QB passer rating.
• Program Quality Rating: ESPN's College Football Power Index is used to assess program quality. The model accounts for each school a prospect attended.
• RYPTPA: receiving yards per team pass attempt.
• SOS Rating: Based on strength of schedule (SOS) from Sports Reference. The model accounts for each school the prospect attended.
• Target Share: A player's percentage of team targets in games played.
• TPRR: Targets per route run.
• YAC: Average yards after the catch.
• YAC over expected: YAC over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
• YPG: Yards per game.
• YPRR: Yards per route run.

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